Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Odds, Picks and Predictions

He New York Mets (24-34) we welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-32) at Citi Field on Sunday. First pitch of the finale of their 4-game series is scheduled for 1:40 pm ET. Let’s analyze the FanDuel Sportsbook lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mets odd and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Mets have closed as losers in 2 of 3 games in the series. While they are 2-1 straight up, they are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). New York won 3-2 on Thursday and 10-9 on Friday, but lost 10-5 on Saturday.

The Mets have lost 4 of their last 6 games, having been swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the previous series, and are 6-14 in their last 20 games. New York is 25-33 ATS and is in fourth place in the NL East.

The Diamondbacks snapped a five-game losing streak with the win on Saturday. They are 4-5 in their last 9 road games and 13-17 on the road. Arizona is in fourth place in the National League West.

Diamondbacks at Mets project headlines

L.D. Brandon Pfaadt vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Pfaadt (2-4, 4.16 ERA) is making his 12th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 67 IP.

• Last Outing: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-2 road loss to the Texas Rangers on Tuesday
• 2024 road splits: 1-2, 4.50 ERA (36 IP, 18 ER), 30 H, 3 HR, 8 BB, 34 K in 6 starts
• He has never faced the Mets as a starter.

Quintana (1-5, 5.06 ERA) is making his 12th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 3-0 home loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday
• 2024 home divisions: 0-3, 3.45 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 27 H, 6 HR, 8 BB, 17 K in 5 starts
• Race vs. Diamondbacks: 0-2, 7.53 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 6 starts

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Diamondbacks at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; Go to USA TODAY’s Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Center for a complete list. Lines last updated at 8:12 am ET.

• Money Line (ML): Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
• Running Line (RL)/Against Spread (ATS): Diamonds -1.5 (+140) | Mets +1.5 (-170)
• More/Less (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

Diamondbacks on Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Diamondbacks 4

money line

BETTING GOALS (+102).

The Diamondbacks have the second-worst record in MLB after an 8-17 victory. Arizona has lost its last 2 games as a moneyline favorite.

While the Mets haven’t exceeded expectations this season, they have a solid lineup and have scored 15 runs in their last 2 games. Additionally, Quintana is coming off a solid start against the Dodgers in his last outing.

Back MET (+102).

Running line/Against the spread

APPROVE.

There’s not much value here. The Mets are too expensive as run-line underdogs, paying almost double the potential reward for this one, and the Diamondbacks are too risky as run-line favorites.

Below

BET OVER 8.5 (-102).

The Diamondbacks have gone 7-7 O/U in their last 14 games and have outscored in their last 2, scoring 19 runs in total. Arizona has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Mets have outscored in 3 of their last 4 games and are 30-27-1 O/U on the season. They have allowed 9 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. Since neither team has an ace on the mound, the runs are expected to keep coming and going. OVER 8.5 (-102).

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