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Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (49-39) and Arizona Diamondbacks (45-45) begins a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 pm ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-0

The Braves posted 2 wins over the weekend against the Philadelphia Phillies, outscoring them 11-1 in the 2 victories after dropping the series opener 8-6 Friday. The Under has cashed in the 2 wins, while going 9-1-1 in the past 11 outings.

Atlanta is just 5-8 in 13 tries against NL West opponents this season, including 0-3 on the road. However, the Braves are 3-0 in 3 meetings with the Diamondbacks, outscoring Arizona 20-15 April 5-7, with the Over going 2-1.

The Diamondbacks won 2 of 3 games as underdogs against the Padres in San Diego. Arizona outscored San Diego 24-16 in a wild 3-game series, hitting the Over in each game. In fact, Arizona has seen the total cash high in 6 in a row, and 10 of the previous 12 outings.

Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Yilber Diaz

Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-3, 2.70 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 BB, 60 K in 7 starts
  • 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home victory April 7
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 2-0, 2.53 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Diaz (1-3, 3.27 ERA at Triple-A Reno) will make his MLB debut. He made 4 starts for Reno where he posted a 1.23 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 22 innings. He started the season with Double-A Amarillo (11 starts, 3-5, 4.33 ERA)

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 7-0 road win vs. Sacramento River Cats (Giants’ Triple-A affiliate) July 1
  • 2024 road splits (2 teams): 2-3, 2.45 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.17 WHIP, .159 OBA, 1 HR, 16 BB, 38 K in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; Access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:19 am ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -194 (bet $194 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +162 (bet $100 to win $162)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-114) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-104)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)

Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Braves (-194) will cost nearly twice your potential return, and that’s a little too risky for not nearly enough reward.

The Diamondbacks (+162) hand the ball to Diaz, who makes his major league debut. It’s a very difficult spot for a rookie, facing a top-tier offense from Atlanta.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (-115) They are a solid play behind Sale on the road, as the pitching scales are strongly tipped in favor of the visitors.

Atlanta has a veteran with 131 career wins in 279 starts and 359 appearances in the majors, while Arizona has a guy making his major league debut. Roll with experience.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (+104) is a good play, especially at plus-money.

The total has gone low at an 11-2-1 clip in the past 14 games for the Braves, but the Over is 4-3 in the past 7 starts for Sale. The Over also cashed in 2 of the first 3 meetings this season between the 2 sides.

For the Diamondbacks, the Over is on a 6-0 roll, while going 10-2 in the past 12 outings. With a rookie making his debut against a top-tier team, it likely isn’t going to end well for the home side.

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